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Arshiya International Limited

Arshiya International Limited- AIL going strong with its FTWZ business- Margins and Profitability expected to improve. Arshiya International (AIL) has pioneered the development and operations of a Unified Supply Chain Infrastructure and Solutions - comprising Free Trade & Warehousing Zones (FTWZ), Industrial and Distribution Hubs, Rail & Rail Infrastructure, Transport & Handling, Forwarding and Supply Chain Technology & Management. AIL has started its Khurja FTWZ with 2 warehouses and  it can be estimated that the company to ramp it up to 4 by end of FY13E. The company is already operating 4 warehouses at Panvel FTWZ and we estimate the company to ramp it up to 8 warehouses by end of FY13E. In the rail segment the company operates 20 rakes currently which they would ramp up to 30 by end of FY13E. The company continues to grow steadily in its core third party logistics (3PL) businesses. The company is expected to deliver revenue CAGR of 24% over FY12 to FY14E to ~ Rs 16.

Infrastructure sector outlook

The third quarter FY12 numbers of the infrastructure companies were mixed bag with some of the companies disappointed on execution, margins and net profit front. Execution was likely to increase significantly from Q3FY12/Q4FY12 onwards, however it continued to remain below expectations due to adverse macro-economic scenario of high interest rates and delays in project approvals.Profitability was impacted by poor execution and continued high borrowings and working capital requirements. Companies like IVRCL,NCC,BGR Energy and J Kumar Infra were impacted by these issues. However, IRB Infra, JP Associates, Unity infra and Pratibha industries outperformed market expectations. Current order books remained healthy but execution growth was impacted due to very high interest rates or lack of funding to achieve financial closure or environmental clearance related issues. Companies like IRB Infra, JP Associates, Unity Infra and Pratibha industries reported excellent growth which was better th